The Chancellor cut welfare and departmental spending to restore a fiscal buffer, but risks to forecasts remain high Inflation dipped unexpectedly but is expected to rise again due to higher energy, taxes and wage costs Business and retail activity showed resilience, but weak manufacturing and trade tensions cloud economic prospects Chancellor trims spending plans Rachel […]
Category archives: Economic Review
Economic Review February 2025
Growth stronger than expected in late 2024 Data released last month by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that the UK economy unexpectedly grew in the final three months of last year, although more recent survey evidence still points to a sluggish outlook. The latest gross domestic product (GDP) statistics showed that economic output […]
Economic Review January 2025
Chancellor unveils plan for growth On 29 January, the Chancellor outlined her plan to boost economic growth during a speech in Oxford, although data released last month suggests the UK economy remained largely stalled at the start of this year. In her speech to business leaders, Rachel Reeves set out a series of major announcements […]
Economic Review December 2024
Headline inflation at eight-month high Release of the latest inflation statistics showed consumer prices are now rising at their fastest rate since March 2024, while last month also saw Bank of England (BoE) policymakers become more divided over the need to cut interest rates. Data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the […]
Economic Review November 2024
Interest rates set to fall more gradually Last month, the Bank of England (BoE) cut interest rates for only the second time since 2020 but also warned future reductions were likely to be more gradual due to the prospect of inflation creeping higher next year. Following its latest meeting, which concluded on 6 November, the […]
Economic Review October 2024
Economy set for short term Budget boost New economic projections produced by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) suggest the Labour administration’s first Budget will provide only a ‘temporary boost’ to UK economic output. Chancellor Rachel Reeves revealed the independent fiscal watchdog’s latest forecast during her Autumn Budget delivered to the House of Commons on […]
Economic Review – September 2024
UK economic growth forecast upgraded An updated forecast published last month by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) suggests the UK will be the joint-second fastest growing economy among the G7 nations this year. According to the OECD’s latest projections, the UK economy is set to expand by 1.1% across the whole of […]
Economic Review – August 2024
BoE starts to cut rates In early August, the Bank of England (BoE) sanctioned the first reduction in interest rates since March 2020 and economists expect a second cut to be announced before the end of this year. The closely-run decision was announced on 1 August following the latest meeting of the Bank’s Monetary Policy […]
Economic Review – July 2024
UK growth stronger than expected Figures released last month by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed the UK economy grew faster in May than had been predicted, while survey evidence points to a more recent post-election pick-up in business activity. The latest gross domestic product (GDP) statistics revealed that economic output rose by 0.4% […]
Economic Review – June 2024
Prospect of rate cut moves closer While last month once again saw the Bank of England (BoE) leave interest rates unchanged at a 16-year high, the minutes to the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting signalled a notable change in tone and economists now view a rate cut as the most likely outcome when the […]
